Winning

Winning

Friday, January 2, 2015

Why oil is tanking and heading for 50 dollars/barrel

You may be enjoying filling your car for 30 dollars again like in the old days instead of spending 65 dollars or more. That SUV you have suddenly required a second mortgage to fill your tank lately and now prices are down to a reasonable level. Remember when gas was over 4 dollars a gallon? The savings are helping people to the tune of over 100 million dollars a day in the United States alone.
So whats the deal? Why are gas prices tanking?

1. Opec wants to wipe out competition. The fracking, the drilling here in the United States, the secondary producers. If the price of oil drops like Wile E Coyote going over a cliff with a rocket fridge strapped to his back, these secondary producers arent nessesary as the cost to frack/drill/develop news technologies and wells are going to be cost prohibitive.

2. The World is stalling. And this is bad news. The actual demand from 1st and 2nd world countries is actually dropping, which is an economic indicator of a sick world economy. OPEC has said it will not cut back production even though demand is now getting sluggish. More barrels sitting around that no one wants=dropping prices.

3. The US dollar is strengthening. Binky Chadha, chief global strategist at Deutsche Bank, argues that the strong dollar is the primary factor in oil’s decline. After all, oil supplies have been building for a long time. It’s hard to believe that investors just “suddenly woke up” to the oil glut at midyear, he said.
Oil’s plunge started not long after the dollar rally began to accelerate, Chada notes, observing that it usually takes a rallying dollar a year and a half to cover the ground it’s gained in the last five months, Chadha told reporters earlier this month, which might make finding a bottom in oil “a function of where the dollar stalls.”

So enjoy those low gas prices. We may even see gas drop below 2 dollars, as we have in some outlying suburbs around chicago. Ah, late 1990's prices.

Related Posts:

  • QQQ development...Check back today for possible orders at 2pm as the QQQ chart is doing something. We may be placing another order then. More to come with order and info.… Read More
  • Twitter Founder: In order to succeed Spectacularly:Twitter Founder and former CEO Jack Dorsey was quoted as saying "In order to succeed Spectacularly you must be willing to fail Spectacularly." And this is true in the world of option investing. Options are a tricky beast. Th… Read More
  • Why You Can't Trade With Scared MoneyYou are the average american guy, maybe in his 20's or 30's and you work in a cubicle at work. You pull down maybe 40-50 thousand dollars. Perhaps you are in Information Technology, or a support position at work. You are work… Read More
  • Purchase QQQ Puts and SCHN PutsToday I pull the trigger and after watching the market all morning I purchase QQQ and SCHN puts. Now normally I would have bought QQQ close to the end of Friday and already made 30% with the drop today but the setup was diffe… Read More
  • Watching the QQQ and SCHN Monday morning, looking for entry pointToday we watch the market to see what shakes out. It is my feeling that Monday the cubes will be up and waffle around a bit which would raise a few eyebrows. I am looking for an entry point for some QQQ puts. I… Read More

0 comments:

Post a Comment